In short: this section places Verdario's independent approaches — the Pool, Scenarios, Recommendations (Numbers), and (at Explorer tier) scenario intersections — side by side and helps you assemble a consensus set. It does not change the ticket's odds and does not predict tomorrow's draw.
1. A common denominator for comparison
Raw hits (how many times a set matched all 6) cannot be compared directly between methods with different set sizes and different logic.
That's why the interface reduces the criteria to one denominator:
| Metric | Meaning |
|---|---|
| Prediction efficiency | Lift×100%. (hits6 ÷ N) ÷ P(chance) × 100%, where P=C(size,6)/C(49,6). 100% ≈ a random set of the same size. |
| Rating | An integrated backtest score (weights 6/5/4/3), usually normalized in the UI to a base of 10 draws. |
This way you compare quality relative to randomness and depth, not "who scored more 6-matches just because the set is bigger."
2. What's compared
- Pool — a curated set from the frequency model (size 18–48).
- Scenarios — a set from the Stable/Chaos phase model.
- Recommendations (Numbers) — a set from the numbers board (Standard / Advanced).
- Scenario intersections — agreement among the Short ∩ Med ∩ STAB families (Explorer tier).
Each method builds its own set independently. Agreement between several methods is stronger than a single vote.
3. Number consensus
Consensus — numbers that landed in two or more of the selected methods at once.
The block shows how many numbers are "supported" by at least two independent loops. Next, you choose a combination of methods (e.g. 1–2, 1–3, 2–3, 1–2–3; on Study also with intersections) and a set-assembly mode:
Intersection (AND)
The set includes only numbers that appear in all of the selected methods.
The set is smaller and stricter.
When it's appropriate: the methods correlate weakly / are independent by nature — then agreement is informative: consensus is not "cheap", and the AND core is stronger as a quality filter. Also useful when you want a narrower set for a ticket or for a further intersection in the basket.
Union (OR)
The set includes numbers that appear in at least one of the selected methods.
The set is wider.
When it's appropriate: you need broader coverage and complementary signals (different viewpoints) — OR gathers numbers that a strict AND would otherwise cut out. Also useful when you deliberately want to widen the pool before a purchase strategy.
Practical rule of thumb:
- weak correlation / independent methods → intersection is especially meaningful (agreement actually means something);
- need wider coverage → union;
- strong correlation → AND and OR add little over a single method (the sets already largely overlap);
- in any case, always check the set with a backtest (see below).
4. All section features (by access level)
A. Comparison size (size strip)
- Guest: 48, 47, 18
- All sizes — from tier 1
B. "Pool" card
Rating / efficiency / 6-match / to basket.
(metrics from tier 1; often blurred for guests)
C. "Scenarios" card
Rating, prediction efficiency, hits — available to guests within the open scenario loop.
D. "Recommendations (Numbers)" card
Standard for everyone; the best Advanced parameters — from tier 1.
E. "Scenario intersections" card
The fourth comparison column.
(Explorer tier)
F. Backtest chart (method comparison)
Cumulative rating / hits over recent draws.
(tier 1)
G. Number consensus + method selector + AND/OR
(guest+; extended combinations with intersections — Explorer tier)
H. Consensus balls → "To basket"
- Guest: limit of 1 set
- tier 1+: several sets
I. Consensus backtest (table)
(tier 1)
5. Backtesting the resulting set — mandatory
Consensus and AND/OR are assembly, not a guarantee. The resulting set needs to be put through a backtest.
Important: look at a depth of 20 draws or more.
- 10 — a surface-level estimate; the method's randomness is still noticeable.
- 20+ — shows more reliably whether the set holds up in quality relative to chance.
- 30 (Explorer tier in adjacent sections) — cuts out the random factor even more strictly.
On the Comparison screen itself, the table/chart is often computed on a fixed window (often the last 10) for a quick check. For a serious check, use the depth of 20/30 available to you in related sections (Scenarios / Pools / Numbers), and look at efficiency and rating, not just raw 6-matches.
6. Typical scenarios
Guest
- Size 48 / 47 / 18.
- A scenario card + consensus AND or OR.
- A set to the basket (1 pc).
- Pool/recommendation metrics and the chart — showcase (blur).
Tier 1
- All sizes.
- Three cards open + chart + consensus backtest.
- Assemble the consensus → check it with a backtest (aim for a depth of ≥20 in the available tools).
Tier 2
Same, plus a deeper backtest in related sections (up to 20).
Explorer tier
Same, plus the 4th scenario-intersections card + extended consensus + depth up to 30.
Important to remember
- Comparison reduces methods to a common denominator (prediction efficiency / normalized rating).
- Consensus reinforces numbers where independent models agreed.
- Intersection — especially when methods correlate weakly / a strict agreement filter is needed.
- Union — when you need wider coverage from complementary methods.
- Check any assembled set with a backtest, preferably on ≥20 draws.
- No consensus makes a 6-number combination more likely.